An Experiment in Candidate Selection
icpsr_124501
Katherine Casey, Abou Bakarr Kamara, Niccoló F. Meriggi (2021). American Economic Review
DOI: 10.1257/aer.20200125
| field | value |
|---|---|
| venue | American Economic Review |
| paper | 10.1257/aer.20200125 |
| replication data | openICPSR 124501 |
| data license | CC BY 4.0 (openICPSR project page 124501 (maintainer-read 2026-07-20)) — “This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) License.” |
| regression datasets (in this corpus) | 5 |
| graduated / eligible / exported | 5 / 33 / 118 (policy claims_manual_regression_cap) |
| routed / gap / residue (at source) | 65 / 104 / 0 |
Claims & tasks
Every claim the paper makes in its main body about a parameter, joined to the benchmark task (dataset · coefficient) that captures it. The effect, s.e. and p are the captured regression's own reported values (the paper's Stata figures, carrying the paper's SE method); the row shows the paper's verbatim quote (page · exhibit), so you can confirm the regression matches what the paper says. The prominence column is the within-study inclusion signal (⭐ headline → primary → secondary). The sensitivity column is the privacy level of the most-sensitive variable in the regression (🔴 high / 🟠 medium / ⚪ low).
| # | prominence | sensitivity | claim | effect | s.e. | p | task | instance (dataset · coef) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C1 | ⭐ primary | 🔴 high | “This rate increases by 23 percentage points with treatment, a large and highly statistically significant effect, which is driven by party responsiveness in safe and weak seats.” — p. 1577 “The new selection mechanism has a large positive impact on representation: the estimated treatment effect on selecting the voters’ first choice aspirant is 23 percentage points, standard error 10.6 (panel A of Table 3).” — p. 1592 Table 3, col 1 ((1)) |
+22.956 | 10.608 | 0.034 | Linear Regression | reg_1 · treatn=91 · d=23 |
| C2 | primary | 🔴 high | “The coefficient on development record in Table 4 is a precisely estimated 0.04 for both voters and party leaders (standard error 0.01 and 0.02, respectively), which implies that a one standard deviation unit increase in public goods provision is associated with a 4 percentage point gain in an aspirant’s vote share in the V2 and P1 surveys.” — p. 1596 “Overall, the headline results that come through this triangulation approach are first, that both voters and party officials value aspirants who have a demonstrated record of providing public goods in the constituency.” — p. 1602 “Development record stands out as the one index that registers positively and significantly for both voters and party officials across all of these specifications.” — p. 1596 Table 4, col 1 (Aspirant's share in voter polls (1)) |
+0.043 | 0.013 | 0.001 | Linear Regression | reg_14__1 · devzn=385 · d=31 |
| C3 | primary | 🔴 high | Estimates for the conscientiousness indicator suggest that returning the money is associated with a precisely estimated increase of 5 (9) percentage points in vote share among voters (party officials). p. 1596 · Table 4, col 1 (Aspirant's share in voter polls (1)) |
+0.051 | 0.025 | 0.042 | Linear Regression | reg_14__1 · returnn=385 · d=31 |
| C4 | primary | 🔴 high | “The coefficient on development record in Table 4 is a precisely estimated 0.04 for both voters and party leaders (standard error 0.01 and 0.02, respectively), which implies that a one standard deviation unit increase in public goods provision is associated with a 4 percentage point gain in an aspirant’s vote share in the V2 and P1 surveys.” — p. 1596 “Overall, the headline results that come through this triangulation approach are first, that both voters and party officials value aspirants who have a demonstrated record of providing public goods in the constituency.” — p. 1602 Table 4, col 2 (Aspirant's share in party official survey (2)) |
+0.042 | 0.020 | 0.044 | Linear Regression | reg_14__2 · devzn=367 · d=30 |
| C5 | primary | 🔴 high | Estimates for the conscientiousness indicator suggest that returning the money is associated with a precisely estimated increase of 5 (9) percentage points in vote share among voters (party officials). p. 1596 · Table 4, col 2 (Aspirant's share in party official survey (2)) |
+0.089 | 0.036 | 0.016 | Linear Regression | reg_14__2 · returnn=367 · d=30 |
| C6 | primary | 🔴 high | Online Appendix Table A3 shows that stronghold voters prefer aspirants with better economic development records, and interestingly, further share party officials' preference for those with more professional qualifications. p. 1605 · Table A.3, col 4 (Stronghold Races Only: Aspirant's share in V2 (4)) |
+0.085 | 0.030 | 0.007 | Linear Regression | reg_16__1 · pqzn=235 · d=20 |
| C7 | primary | 🔴 high | Online Appendix Table A3 shows that stronghold voters prefer aspirants with better economic development records, and interestingly, further share party officials' preference for those with more professional qualifications. p. 1605 · Table A.3, col 5 (Stronghold Races Only: Aspirant's share in P1 (5)) |
+0.101 | 0.059 | 0.092 | Linear Regression | reg_16__2 · pqzn=226 · d=19 |
| C8 | secondary | 🔴 high | Wealth and public service motivation also at least marginally predict voter preferences, and while not precise predictors for party officials, the estimated coefficients are positive and comparable in magnitude for both groups. p. 1596 · Table 4, col 1 (Aspirant's share in voter polls (1)) |
+0.034 | 0.015 | 0.029 | Linear Regression | reg_14__1 · weazn=385 · d=31 |
| C9 | secondary | 🔴 high | Wealth and public service motivation also at least marginally predict voter preferences, and while not precise predictors for party officials, the estimated coefficients are positive and comparable in magnitude for both groups. p. 1596 · Table 4, col 1 (Aspirant's share in voter polls (1)) |
+0.038 | 0.021 | 0.070 | Linear Regression | reg_14__1 · psmzn=385 · d=31 |
| C10 | secondary | 🔴 high | Development record stands out as the one index that registers positively and significantly for both voters and party officials across all of these specifications. p. 1596 · Table A.3, col 4 (Stronghold Races Only: Aspirant's share in V2 (4)) |
+0.063 | 0.016 | 2.7e-04 | Linear Regression | reg_16__1 · devzn=235 · d=20 |
Regression datasets
The 5 regression dataset(s) graduated into the benchmark corpus from this study's replication package — each backs one or more claims above. Expand each for its features, response, (sound, data-independent) public bounds, and reproduction grade.
icpsr_124501_reg_1icpsr_124501_reg_14__1icpsr_124501_reg_14__2icpsr_124501_reg_16__1icpsr_124501_reg_16__2
icpsr_124501_reg_1 — v2first_won ~ treat + 2.strata + 3.strata + 4.strata + 5.strata + 6.strata + 7.strata + 8…
Sensitivity proposal: 🔴 high maximum across columns (advisory; reviewed manually).
Reproduction grade: ✅ match (benchmark-eligible).
Features
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons |
intercept | continuous | — | 1 | 1 | +21.86 | 18.8 |
treat |
randomized primary-election treatment assignment indicator | continuous | ⚪ low | 0.0 | 1.0 | +22.96 | 10.6 |
2.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 29.4 |
3.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +4.167 | 27 |
4.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +22.17 | 30 |
5.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +33.33 | 29.9 |
6.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 26.2 |
7.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | -8.333 | 29.1 |
8.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
9.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
10.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
11.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +66.67 | 21.2 |
12.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +66.67 | 20.1 |
13.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 40.5 |
14.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 35.4 |
15.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | -8.333 | 29.1 |
16.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +50 | 28.1 |
17.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | -8.333 | 35.2 |
18.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | -33.33 | 21.2 |
19.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
20.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
21.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | -33.33 | 21.2 |
22.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
23.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +16.67 | 37 |
Response
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
v2first_won |
respondent's V2 top-choice aspirant ultimately won | continuous | 🔴 high | — | — | — | — |
Public bounds (data-independent) sourced from: binary indicator.
n = 91 samples.
icpsr_124501_reg_14__1 — v2_vs ~ pqz + weaz + devz + psmz + loyz + iqz + locz + cez + return + 2.strata + 3.strata…
Sensitivity proposal: 🔴 high maximum across columns (advisory; reviewed manually).
Reproduction grade: ✅ match (benchmark-eligible).
Features
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons |
intercept | continuous | — | 1 | 1 | +0.09827 | 0.0243 |
pqz |
standardized professional-qualifications index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.0458 | 0.028 |
weaz |
standardized wealth index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.03365 | 0.0152 |
devz |
standardized development-record index of aspirant | continuous | ⚪ low | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.04306 | 0.0127 |
psmz |
standardized public-service-motivation index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.03787 | 0.0206 |
loyz |
standardized party-loyalty index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.008518 | 0.0311 |
iqz |
standardized cognitive-ability (IQ) score of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.006651 | 0.0253 |
locz |
standardized local-ties/localness index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.01686 | 0.0304 |
cez |
candidate's social/political connections index (standardized) | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | -0.004624 | 0.0209 |
return |
aspirant returned campaign money (conscientiousness indicator) | continuous | ⚪ low | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.05117 | 0.0248 |
2.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1034 | 0.0269 |
3.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05106 | 0.0338 |
4.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.03598 | 0.0344 |
5.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.279 | 0.0733 |
6.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.2561 | 0.0479 |
7.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3326 | 0.126 |
8.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3791 | 0.0251 |
9.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.2159 | 0.0203 |
10.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3395 | 0.174 |
11.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1369 | 0.118 |
12.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3534 | 0.0592 |
13.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1673 | 0.0598 |
14.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.01655 | 0.0273 |
15.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.01857 | 0.0305 |
16.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06426 | 0.0584 |
17.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.01953 | 0.0472 |
18.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.02579 | 0.0354 |
19.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.0235 | 0.0277 |
20.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3872 | 0.0721 |
21.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.08145 | 0.0397 |
22.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05989 | 0.0582 |
23.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.08967 | 0.0276 |
Response
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
v2_vs |
wave-2 survey vote share for aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — |
Public bounds (data-independent) sourced from: binary indicator; standardized z-score index; vote share is a proportion.
n = 385 samples.
icpsr_124501_reg_14__2 — p1_vs ~ pqz + weaz + devz + psmz + loyz + iqz + locz + cez + return + 2.strata + 3.strata…
Sensitivity proposal: 🔴 high maximum across columns (advisory; reviewed manually).
Reproduction grade: ✅ match (benchmark-eligible).
Features
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons |
intercept | continuous | — | 1 | 1 | +0.06875 | 0.0392 |
pqz |
standardized professional-qualifications index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.1089 | 0.0413 |
weaz |
standardized wealth index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.02873 | 0.0273 |
devz |
standardized development-record index of aspirant | continuous | ⚪ low | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.04192 | 0.0205 |
psmz |
standardized public-service-motivation index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.03178 | 0.0318 |
loyz |
standardized party-loyalty index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.02337 | 0.0597 |
iqz |
standardized cognitive-ability (IQ) score of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.05784 | 0.0381 |
locz |
standardized local-ties/localness index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.04062 | 0.0505 |
cez |
candidate's social/political connections index (standardized) | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | -0.00551 | 0.0379 |
return |
aspirant returned campaign money (conscientiousness indicator) | continuous | ⚪ low | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.08859 | 0.0359 |
2.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1153 | 0.0384 |
3.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05312 | 0.049 |
4.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.04093 | 0.0427 |
5.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3471 | 0.0925 |
6.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.2975 | 0.0588 |
7.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.6368 | 0.175 |
8.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3813 | 0.0452 |
9.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.2253 | 0.0333 |
10.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.4441 | 0.177 |
11.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.184 | 0.144 |
12.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.397 | 0.0827 |
13.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1777 | 0.0603 |
14.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05466 | 0.042 |
15.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.03833 | 0.052 |
16.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05615 | 0.0551 |
17.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06935 | 0.0545 |
18.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.07394 | 0.0704 |
19.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.04313 | 0.0445 |
21.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1091 | 0.0475 |
22.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.01909 | 0.0538 |
23.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06245 | 0.0446 |
Response
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
p1_vs |
party official's predicted vote share for aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — |
Public bounds (data-independent) sourced from: binary indicator; standardized z-score index; vote share is a proportion.
n = 367 samples.
icpsr_124501_reg_16__1 — v2_vs ~ pqz + weaz + devz + psmz + loyz + iqz + locz + cez + return + 2.strata + 3.strata…
Sensitivity proposal: 🔴 high maximum across columns (advisory; reviewed manually).
Reproduction grade: ✅ match (benchmark-eligible).
Features
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons |
intercept | continuous | — | 1 | 1 | +0.1097 | 0.0244 |
pqz |
standardized professional-qualifications index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.08455 | 0.03 |
weaz |
standardized wealth index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.02222 | 0.0152 |
devz |
standardized development-record index of aspirant | continuous | ⚪ low | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.06293 | 0.016 |
psmz |
standardized public-service-motivation index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.01207 | 0.0187 |
loyz |
standardized party-loyalty index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | -0.05167 | 0.0309 |
iqz |
standardized cognitive-ability (IQ) score of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.0388 | 0.0304 |
locz |
standardized local-ties/localness index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | -0.02495 | 0.0331 |
cez |
candidate's social/political connections index (standardized) | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.008096 | 0.0223 |
return |
aspirant returned campaign money (conscientiousness indicator) | continuous | ⚪ low | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.02203 | 0.0261 |
2.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.08925 | 0.035 |
3.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06392 | 0.0359 |
4.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05319 | 0.0343 |
16.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06676 | 0.0463 |
17.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.02271 | 0.0518 |
18.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.02761 | 0.0372 |
19.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.02962 | 0.0264 |
20.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.3853 | 0.088 |
21.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.08697 | 0.0385 |
22.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.08656 | 0.0553 |
23.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.0896 | 0.0238 |
Response
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
v2_vs |
wave-2 survey vote share for aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — |
Public bounds (data-independent) sourced from: binary indicator; standardized z-score index; vote share is a proportion.
n = 235 samples.
icpsr_124501_reg_16__2 — p1_vs ~ pqz + weaz + devz + psmz + loyz + iqz + locz + cez + return + 2.strata + 3.strata…
Sensitivity proposal: 🔴 high maximum across columns (advisory; reviewed manually).
Reproduction grade: ✅ match (benchmark-eligible).
Features
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
_cons |
intercept | continuous | — | 1 | 1 | +0.07716 | 0.0374 |
pqz |
standardized professional-qualifications index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.1012 | 0.0588 |
weaz |
standardized wealth index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.03335 | 0.0304 |
devz |
standardized development-record index of aspirant | continuous | ⚪ low | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.05585 | 0.0277 |
psmz |
standardized public-service-motivation index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.01826 | 0.0384 |
loyz |
standardized party-loyalty index of aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | -6.0 | 6.0 | -0.05815 | 0.0627 |
iqz |
standardized cognitive-ability (IQ) score of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.08158 | 0.0445 |
locz |
standardized local-ties/localness index of aspirant | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.02211 | 0.0626 |
cez |
candidate's social/political connections index (standardized) | continuous | 🟠 medium | -6.0 | 6.0 | +0.005411 | 0.0432 |
return |
aspirant returned campaign money (conscientiousness indicator) | continuous | ⚪ low | 0.0 | 1.0 | +0.07726 | 0.0413 |
2.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.1007 | 0.04 |
3.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06621 | 0.0508 |
4.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05478 | 0.039 |
16.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.0594 | 0.0518 |
17.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.06826 | 0.0582 |
18.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.04929 | 0.0663 |
19.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05442 | 0.0437 |
21.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.09465 | 0.0485 |
22.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.01939 | 0.0595 |
23.strata |
randomization stratification cell/block identifier | categorical | ⚪ low | — | — | +0.05956 | 0.0475 |
Response
| name | description | type | sensitivity | bound lo | bound hi | estimate | s.e. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
p1_vs |
party official's predicted vote share for aspirant | continuous | 🔴 high | 0.0 | 1.0 | — | — |
Public bounds (data-independent) sourced from: binary indicator; standardized z-score index; vote share is a proportion.
n = 226 samples.